
You may have heard about Richard Lustig. He's in the news often. Richard won ten lottery jackpots. Now he's selling a book that he wrote to help other people win the lottery too.
I don't know exactly how much Richard won with his ten prizes, so let's just add up his three biggest wins which were $842,152, $98,992, and $73,660. That adds up to $1,014,804.
At first glance, you would think that someone that wins the lottery so much must have some kind of method or secret. How else could you explain it? Sure, that's the natural reaction most people would have. I think Richard understands this well and so, like any good entrepreneur, he decided to make something out of this demand for his "secrets" - He wrote a book that outlines his system for winning. The book is called, Learn How To Increase Your Chances Of Winning The Lottery." It's currently for sale on Amazon.
I admit, Richard's probably a good entrepreneur; he created a product that there's a big demand for. However, I think that he may just be a quack. Why? Because there is no system that can teach you to win the lottery. Perhaps Richard knows this, but he's in it for the money. Or perhaps he really believes that he "knows" how to win the lottery.
All of Richard's wins can be attributed to probabilities. Let me explain. Richard spends a lot of money on the lottery, and I mean
A LOT! He says that he spends hours a day playing the lottery (That includes scratching tickets and filling out slips). There's other people that spend a lot of money on tickets, just as Richard does, all over the world.
Nobody really knows how many people spend an abnormal amount of money on lottery tickets, but there are thousands of them, maybe more. Now, if you take any one person out of these thousands of people that spend a lot of money, the probability that that that particular person will win a jackpot is still small, even though they spend a lot of money. However, as a group, the probability that some of them will win a jackpot is almost certain, you just can't pick out who it will actually be. That's the law of large numbers at work.
Now, out of the people that do win, some of them will win more than once and some of them will win multiple times. The people that win more than once aren't "special," they're just lucky. Richard Lustig just happens to be one of those people.
What makes Richard different, though, is that he's capitalizing on his publicity for winning the lottery multiple times. He shares his "secrets" in his book.
His secrets are not really secrets. They don't make any mathematical sense. For example, he says that you should be playing your own numbers instead of quick picks. This is just plain wrong - Any combination of numbers has an equal chance of being drawn, no matter if you choose them yourself or if you get a quick pick.
If Richard's "quick pick" theory held true, we would see way more people winning with their own numbers. This isn't the case, though. Richard plays the lottery in Florida. If you look at Florida's biggest game, Florida Lotto, you would find that, since 1999, 364 jackpots had been won. Out of those 364 jackpots, 201 (Or 55%) were with quick picks. I admit that these stats are meaningless unless we know what percentage of people actually played quick picks, but I would suspect it's probably just over 50%, closely matching the percentage of quick pick winners.
One thing that Richard Lustig does right, though, is that he plays games with relatively better odds. His biggest win was on a Florida Lottery game called Mega Money. The odds of winning the jackpot on Mega Money are about 1-in-3-million. That makes it about 65 times easier to win than Powerball. Some of his other big prizes came on the Fantasy 5 game, which is about 515 times easier to win than Powerball. Playing games with better odds is actually the best way to improve your chances of winning.
Is Richard Lustig really a quack then? He may be, but you can decide for yourself.